I think you're on the right track here. Max is not operating alone, he's got some kind of tie-up with members of the Combination, but the rank-and-file wouldn't know about that. Still, Max's plan requires a certain amount of coordinating, and so it has to be, at some level, Mob approved. But Noodles is part of the plan. Despite what Carrol says (and how would she know what's true, Max lied to her too), Max needs to keep Noodles alive, not out of friendship, but to make him a credible scapegoat. Part of the narrative Max and his new masters are writing is that he and his gang were betrayed from the inside and so destroyed. Once the betrayer is taken care of, everyone is then free to move on (especially a "reborn" Max). A living scapegoat keeps people's attention on something other than how the trick is really being pulled, and anyway, scapegoats are more credible if they don't arrive already "pre-deceased." The problem with keeping things spontaneous, though, is that things can get out of hand, and they do, allowing Noodles to make his escape. Still, the Combination must know where he ended up: if they wanted to, they could have taken him out whenever, but since he was "going to bed early" every night for the next 35 years they decided to leave him alone. But finally, Max remembered and found one final use for him (except that didn't quite go as planned, either).I find it hard to believe that Max would have anticipated that Noodles would get away. He expected him to be killed, just not in the bootlegging run with the others, but later. This fits with the film's over-arching theme of friendship and betrayal and provides an extra measure of irony: Max was the betrayer, while Noodles spent his civilian life believing wrongly that he was the betrayer (a kind of double betrayal).
On the question of why Max knocks out Noodles, thereby ensuring he would not go on the fateful bootlegging escort, I see that there are basically two theories:A) Max As Merciful View: As close as he was to Noodles, Max can't bear to actually kill him. (This is consistent with some dialogue that Old Carol says at the rest home in some deleted scenes; but much of what she says is wrong and inconsistent with others scenes, so who knows if that means anything). Therefore, even though he is about to ruin Noodles's life, he still doesn't want him to dieB) Max As Sadistic View:This viewpoint takes the opposite approach: it says that Max turned on Noodles completely. He was so angry at Noodles -- eg. for not wanting to join him in the new world of mafia bosses, not wanting to do the Federal reserve job with him, calling him "crazy," etc. -- that he decided to get him back in the most sadistic way possible: to keep him alive with misery and regret over having had his friends killed. Keeping Noodles alive with the belief that he had betrayed his friends is the best revenge Max can get on Noodles, the worst sort of pain he can inflict on him. It's far worse than death. So according to this view, he kept Noodles alive not in order to have mercy on him, but in order to torture him even worse.My question to all of you is, which view do you subscribe to?
I subscribe to . . . C) Max as Rational View:Max and his new masters decide to eliminate his gang and thereby make it possible to give Max a new identity. They decide the best way to eliminate the gang is to make it look like one of their group betrayed them to the cops. Max coolly settles on Noodles to be the scapegoat: Noodles is the only group member known to have challenged Max’s decisions; he’s also something of an outsider, having been away from the gang during the time he was in prison. He’s also a dope fiend, the least reliable member of the gang. To make the scapegoating plausible, Max manipulates Noodles into calling the police. He further seals the deal by preventing Noodles from going along on the last job. That’s what a rat would actually do: call the police, and then not show up for the ambush. What kind of idiot would go along to an ambush he’d helped set up? That’s a good way to get yourself killed. The whole point of being a rat is staying alive to enjoy your ratty existence.It only remains to make sure the rank-and-file know about the rat’s perfidy. Then all the hoods in town will hunt him down and exterminate him. The added benefit provided is that while the hoods are intent on finding the rat, they won’t be focusing too much on the actual facts of the ambush. In conjuring terms this is known as mis-direction: the audience is looking at what the left hand is doing while meanwhile the right hand performs the trick. And since Noodles is resourceful, he provides a really good distraction. A lot of hoods will spend a lot of time tracking him down, and afterwards there won’t be any questions to ask. And Noodles won’t be alive to raise any doubts either.Except that the plan goes wrong. Noodles beats the odds and makes it out of town. Still, the rat story can be made to stick provided Noodles never returns. Max and the Combination eventually learn what’s become of Noodles, but since he’s keeping his head buried in the armpit of the world they decide to let him alone. They can always get him if he looks like he could become a threat, but for 35 years he stays out of trouble. The wisdom of this course becomes clear when the very rational Secretary Bailey finally sees a way to make use of Noodles one more time . . . .
Regarding the possible anonymity of a cabinet member, here's a real-world example: http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2012/06/us-commerce-secretary-accused-in-hit-and-run-crashes-found-unconcious.htmlUntil today, I don't think I'd ever heard of this guy. But now that there's a "scandal" his photo is given prominence, readers are noticing him, etc.Bryson, Bailey . . . .
I hadn't noticed earlier, but now I see that D&D had a link to an article on Bryson at the time of his appointment. Interestingly, in that earlier article, there's no picture of the guy. We only get the picture once there is a "scandal."
The Commerce Secretary Scandal continues to deepen. Now we know just how evil this guy is: http://prestowitz.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/06/12/why_arent_we_more_upset_that_the_commerce_secretary_drives_a_lexus